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The Predictive Value of First Trimester Combined Screening Test Parameters for Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes’’

Ruken Dayanan, Gizem Aktemur, Betül Tokgöz Çakır, Gülşan Karabay, Ahmet Arif Filiz, Nazan Vanlı Tonyalı, Merve Ayas Özkan, Dilara Duygulu Bulan, Mevlut Bucak, Hatice Ayhan, Ali Turhan Çağlar.



Abstract
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Abstract
Objective: This study aims to evaluate the predictive efficacy of first-trimester screening test parameters, including free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG), pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), and nuchal translucency (NT), in identifying adverse pregnancy outcomes such as gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), fetal growth restriction (FGR), preeclampsia, preterm birth, and placenta accreta spectrum (PAS) or placenta previa (PP).
Methods: A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted involving 776 pregnant individuals who underwent first-trimester screening tests between January 2023 and August 2024. Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of pregnancy complications. Statistical analyses were performed using descriptive statistics, chi-squared tests, and ROC curve analysis to assess the correlation and predictive values of the parameters.
Results: Pregnancy complications were identified in 36.6% of participants, with GDM, FGR, and preterm birth being the most common. PAPP-A levels were significantly reduced in pregnancies complicated by GDM (p=0.033), FGR (p=0.048), and preeclampsia (p=0.001). NT values were notably elevated in GDM cases (p=0.016). Free β-hCG levels were significantly higher in preterm birth (p=0.040) and PAS/PP cases (p=0.016). ROC analysis revealed notable predictive thresholds: PAPP-A 1.01 for PAS/PP (AUC=0.814, p=0.016).
Conclusion: First-trimester screening test parameters, particularly PAPP-A, NT, and β-hCG, exhibit potential in predicting adverse pregnancy outcomes. Reduced PAPP-A levels correlate with GDM, FGR, and preeclampsia, while elevated NT and β-hCG levels are associated with GDM and PAS/PP, respectively. Although these markers demonstrate promise, larger-scale prospective studies are needed to confirm their clinical utility and reliability in predicting pregnancy complications.

Key words: Keywords: First trimester screening, pregnancy complications, gestational diabetes mellitus, preeclampsia, fetal growth restriction, placenta accreta spectrum.







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